Premier League · Apr 03, 2026 14:00
Ozgon
PWR 35
PWR 35
3-0
predicted
Asiagoal
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ozgon Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ozgon
DWWLW
STABLE
Asiagoal
DDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Ozgonvs
0.73
AsiagoalGoal Probability
Ozgon
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Asiagoal
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Ozgon+3
Gap#7
Asiagoal
WR 0% 7 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Ozgon
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Ozgon v Alay | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Ozgon v Kara-Ba… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Ozgon v Neftchi | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Ozgon v Bishkek… | 1-2 |
| Nov 03 | Ozgon v Kara-Ba… | 0-4 |
| Oct 30 | Ozgon v Alay | 0-1 |
| Oct 20 | Ozgon v Muras U… | 1-1 |
| Oct 17 | Ozgon v Aris | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Ozgon v Ilbirs | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | Ozgon v Dordoi … | 1-0 |
Asiagoal
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Asiagoal v OshMU A… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Asiagoal v Talant | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Asiagoal v Dordoi … | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Asiagoal v Abdish-… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Asiagoal v Spaeri | 0-0 |
| Nov 07 | Asiagoal v Kara-Ba… | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Asiagoal v Ilbirs | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | Asiagoal v Neftchi | 2-1 |
| Oct 16 | Asiagoal v Muras U… | 2-6 |
| Oct 11 | Asiagoal v Aris | 6-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 25, 2025 | Asiagoal | 0-2 | Ozgon |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Ozgon | 2-0 | Asiagoal |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ozgon in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.