Eerste Divisie · Apr 03, 2026 18:00
Jong AZ
PWR 35
Helmond Sport
PWR 35
Jong AZ
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Helmond Sport
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Jong AZ to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jong AZ
LWWDL
STABLE
Helmond Sport
DLLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
3.51
Jong AZvs
0.68
Helmond SportGoal Probability
Jong AZ
0
3%
1
11%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
Helmond Spo…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Jong AZ+1
Gap#18
Helmond Spo…
WR 13% 34 pts
WR 13% 34 pts
Jong AZ
10.0%
| Mar 20 | Jong AZ v Almere … | 0-2 |
| Mar 20 | Jong AZ v Cambuur | 3-4 |
| Mar 17 | Jong AZ v VVV Ven… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Jong AZ v MVV Maa… | 1-1 |
| Mar 13 | Jong AZ v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Jong AZ v Den Bos… | 3-2 |
| Mar 09 | Jong AZ v Emmen | 2-3 |
| Mar 06 | Jong AZ v PSV Ein… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Jong AZ v Helmond… | 5-1 |
| Feb 27 | Jong AZ v Vitesse | 2-0 |
Helmond Sport
4.0%
| Mar 20 | Helmond… v Roda | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Helmond… v Cambuur | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Helmond… v Utrecht | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Helmond… v FC OSS | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Helmond… v Jong AZ | 5-1 |
| Feb 20 | Helmond… v ADO Den… | 1-3 |
| Feb 13 | Helmond… v Almere … | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Helmond… v Den Bos… | 2-0 |
| Feb 03 | Helmond… v Dordrec… | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Helmond… v De Graa… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 27, 2026 | Jong AZ | 5-1 | Helmond Sport |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Helmond Sport | 2-1 | Jong AZ |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Helmond Sport | 4-2 | Jong AZ |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Jong AZ | 1-0 | Helmond Sport |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Helmond Sport | 2-1 | Jong AZ |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Jong AZ | 2-3 | Helmond Sport |
| Oct 04, 2024 | Helmond Sport | 1-1 | Jong AZ |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Helmond Sport | 3-1 | Jong AZ |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Helmond Sport | 3-1 | Jong AZ |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Jong AZ | 4-1 | Helmond Sport |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Helmond Sport struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.