Eerste Divisie · Apr 03, 2026 18:00
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
Waalwijk
PWR 35
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Waalwijk
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (5%)2-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
60%
60%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
MVV Maastricht
LDWDD
STABLE
Waalwijk
LDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
MVV Maastrichtvs
2.44
WaalwijkGoal Probability
MVV Maastri…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Waalwijk
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-3 (8%)0-2 (6%)0-3 (6%)1-1 (6%)1-4 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
MVV Maastri…-9
Gap#7
Waalwijk
WR 38% 36 pts
WR 38% 48 pts
MVV Maastricht
10.0%
| Mar 22 | MVV Maa… v Willem … | 0-5 |
| Mar 16 | MVV Maa… v Jong AZ | 1-1 |
| Mar 13 | MVV Maa… v VVV Ven… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | MVV Maa… v Dordrec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | MVV Maa… v De Graa… | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | MVV Maa… v Roda | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | MVV Maa… v ADO Den… | 3-0 |
| Feb 06 | MVV Maa… v Jong PSV | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | MVV Maa… v Almere … | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | MVV Maa… v PSV Ein… | 5-0 |
Waalwijk
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Waalwijk v Den Bos… | 2-3 |
| Mar 17 | Waalwijk v Almere … | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | Waalwijk v Jong AZ | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Waalwijk v VVV Ven… | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | Waalwijk v PSV Ein… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Waalwijk v Cambuur | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Waalwijk v Roda | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Waalwijk v Willem … | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Waalwijk v FC OSS | 2-0 |
| Jan 26 | Waalwijk v Utrecht | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 25, 2025 | Waalwijk | 1-0 | MVV Maastricht |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
38%
Standings
32%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Waalwijk in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.