Eerste Divisie · Apr 03, 2026 18:00
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 41
De Graafschap
PWR 35
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 41
1-1
predicted
De Graafschap
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
54%
Team Comparison
48Attack0
43Defense100
Goals/G
1.40.0
Conc/G
1.60.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
PSV Eindhoven
WLLLW
STABLE
De Graafschap
WLWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
PSV Eindhovenvs
1.39
De GraafschapGoal Probability
PSV Eindhov…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
De Graafsch…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (5%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 46% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
PSV Eindhov…-11
Gap#4
De Graafsch…
WR 32% 147 pts
WR 46% 200 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 120 | 38 | 33 | 49 | 165 | 197 | 147 |
| De Graafschap | 125 | 57 | 29 | 39 | 205 | 162 | 200 |
PSV Eindhoven
8.0%
| Mar 28 | PSV Ein… v Emmen | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | PSV Ein… v Telstar | 3-1 |
| Mar 20 | PSV Ein… v FC OSS | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | PSV Ein… v NEC Nij… | 2-3 |
| Mar 13 | PSV Ein… v Jong PSV | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | PSV Ein… v AZ Alkm… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | PSV Ein… v Jong AZ | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | PSV Ein… v NEC Nij… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | PSV Ein… v Heracles | 1-3 |
| Feb 27 | PSV Ein… v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
De Graafschap
10.0%
| Mar 28 | De Graa… v Willem … | 0-2 |
| Mar 22 | De Graa… v ADO Den… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | De Graa… v Dordrec… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | De Graa… v Vitesse | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | De Graa… v MVV Maa… | 3-3 |
| Feb 20 | De Graa… v Utrecht | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | De Graa… v Jong PSV | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | De Graa… v Jong AZ | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | De Graa… v Helmond… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | De Graa… v Den Bos… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 30, 2025 | De Graafschap | 2-0 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Apr 11, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 1-0 | De Graafschap |
| Sep 06, 2024 | De Graafschap | 2-0 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Jan 19, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 0-1 | De Graafschap |
| Oct 27, 2023 | De Graafschap | 2-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Feb 24, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven | 0-4 | De Graafschap |
| Dec 11, 2022 | De Graafschap | 1-2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| May 13, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 3-1 | De Graafschap |
| May 09, 2022 | De Graafschap | 1-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Mar 25, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 1-2 | De Graafschap |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
PSV Eindhoven struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.