Eerste Divisie · Apr 03, 2026 18:00
Willem II
PWR 35
Jong PSV
PWR 35
Willem II
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Jong PSV
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Willem II to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Willem II
LWWDW
STABLE
Jong PSV
LLLWD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Willem IIvs
0.95
Jong PSVGoal Probability
Willem II
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Jong PSV
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Willem II+2
Gap#6
Jong PSV
WR 44% 53 pts
WR 44% 50 pts
Willem II
14.0%
| Mar 28 | Willem … v De Graa… | 0-2 |
| Mar 22 | Willem … v MVV Maa… | 0-5 |
| Mar 13 | Willem … v FC OSS | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Willem … v Den Bos… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Willem … v Emmen | 0-3 |
| Feb 24 | Willem … v ADO Den… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Willem … v Vitesse | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Willem … v Utrecht | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Willem … v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | Willem … v Jong AZ | 2-1 |
Jong PSV
6.0%
| Mar 20 | Jong PSV v Vitesse | 0-2 |
| Mar 16 | Jong PSV v Den Bos… | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | Jong PSV v PSV Ein… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Jong PSV v Roda | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Jong PSV v Dordrec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Jong PSV v Emmen | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Jong PSV v De Graa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Jong PSV v FC OSS | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Jong PSV v MVV Maa… | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | Jong PSV v Cambuur | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 03, 2025 | Jong PSV | 2-1 | Willem II |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Jong PSV | 1-1 | Willem II |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Willem II in strong form (3W in last 5)
Jong PSV struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.