Championship · Apr 03, 2026 14:00
Sheffield United
PWR 35
Swansea
PWR 34
Sheffield United
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Swansea
PWR 34
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Sheffield United to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.37x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.13x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
43Attack34
57Defense63
Goals/G
1.41.1
Conc/G
1.41.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Sheffield Unit…
LDLDW
STABLE
Swansea
LLWWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Sheffield Unit…vs
0.82
SwanseaGoal Probability
Sheffield U…
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Swansea
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Sheffield U…-3
Gap#14
Swansea
WR 42% 50 pts
WR 26% 52 pts
Sheffield Unit…
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Sheffie… v Wrexham | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Sheffie… v Birming… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Sheffie… v Norwich… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Sheffie… v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Sheffie… v QPR | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Sheffie… v Coventry | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Sheffie… v Sheffie… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sheffie… v Portsmo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | Sheffie… v Middles… | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | Sheffie… v Oxford … | 3-1 |
Swansea
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Swansea v Coventry | 0-3 |
| Mar 13 | Swansea v Wrexham | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Swansea v Portsmo… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Swansea v Stoke C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Swansea v Ipswich | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Swansea v Preston | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Swansea v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Swansea v Derby | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Swansea v Sheffie… | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | Swansea v Watford | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 16, 2025 | Swansea | 1-0 | Sheffield Uni… |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Swansea | 0-1 | Sheffield Uni… |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Swansea | 1-2 | Sheffield Uni… |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Sheffield Uni… | 0-0 | Swansea |
| Oct 02, 2024 | Sheffield Uni… | 1-0 | Swansea |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Sheffield Uni… | 1-1 | Swansea |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
44%
Market
55%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Swansea struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.