Championship · Apr 03, 2026 19:00
Coventry
PWR 45
Derby
PWR 37
Coventry
PWR 45
4-2
predicted
Derby
PWR 37
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Coventry Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
63Attack44
65Defense63
Goals/G
2.11.5
Conc/G
1.21.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Coventry
WLWWW
STABLE
Derby
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk18%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Below minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Coventryvs
0.87
DerbyGoal Probability
Coventry
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Derby
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Coventry+7
Gap#8
Derby
WR 74% 80 pts
WR 47% 60 pts
Coventry
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Coventry v Swansea | 0-3 |
| Mar 14 | Coventry v Southam… | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Coventry v Preston | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Coventry v Bristol… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Coventry v Stoke C… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Coventry v Sheffie… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Coventry v West Br… | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Coventry v Middles… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Coventry v Oxford … | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Coventry v QPR | 2-1 |
Derby
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Derby v Birming… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Derby v Portsmo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Derby v Millwall | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Derby v Sheffie… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Derby v Blackbu… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Derby v Hull Ci… | 4-2 |
| Feb 21 | Derby v Watford | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Derby v Swansea | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Derby v Ipswich | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | Derby v Bristol… | 0-5 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 16, 2025 | Derby | 3-5 | Coventry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Derby | 2-0 | Coventry |
| Nov 06, 2024 | Coventry | 1-2 | Derby |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Coventry in strong form (4W in last 5)
Derby in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.