Championship · Apr 03, 2026 14:00
QPR
PWR 35
Watford
PWR 36
QPR
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Watford
PWR 36
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
QPR Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
42Attack39
57Defense65
Goals/G
1.41.3
Conc/G
1.41.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
QPR
WWLLL
STABLE
Watford
WDLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
QPRvs
1.12
WatfordGoal Probability
QPR
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Watford
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
QPR-3
Gap#9
Watford
WR 47% 53 pts
WR 21% 56 pts
QPR
8.0%
| Mar 21 | QPR v Portsmo… | 6-1 |
| Mar 14 | QPR v Leicest… | 1-3 |
| Mar 11 | QPR v Birming… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | QPR v Middles… | 0-4 |
| Feb 28 | QPR v Sheffie… | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | QPR v Southam… | 5-0 |
| Feb 21 | QPR v Hull Ci… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | QPR v Blackbu… | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | QPR v Charlton | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | QPR v Coventry | 2-1 |
Watford
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Watford v Milton … | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Watford v Leicest… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Watford v Cambrid… | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Watford v Barrow | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Watford v Wrexham | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Watford v Harroga… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Watford v Stoke C… | 3-1 |
| Mar 10 | Watford v Walsall | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Watford v Sheffie… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Watford v Barnet | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Aug 16, 2025 | Watford | 2-1 | QPR |
| Jan 01, 2025 | QPR | 3-1 | Watford |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Watford | 0-0 | QPR |
| Jan 14, 2024 | QPR | 1-2 | Watford |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
QPR struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.