FAW Championship · Apr 03, 2026 13:30
Denbigh Town
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Penrhyncoch
PWR 35
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
PRO: Denbigh Town to win (65% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
65%
TierPRO
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (6%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.44x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.11x
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Denbigh Town
DLWWL
STABLE
Penrhyncoch
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Denbigh Townvs
0.96
PenrhyncochGoal Probability
Denbigh Town
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Penrhyncoch
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Denbigh Town+9
Gap#15
Penrhyncoch
WR 50% 37 pts
WR 23% 26 pts
Denbigh Town
10.0%
| Mar 31 | Denbigh… v Holyhea… | 1-1 |
| Mar 27 | Denbigh… v Rhyl | 3-0 |
| Mar 20 | Denbigh… v Airbus … | 3-2 |
| Mar 13 | Denbigh… v Buckley… | 1-4 |
| Mar 06 | Denbigh… v Brickfi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Denbigh… v Holywell | 5-1 |
| Feb 20 | Denbigh… v Llandud… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Denbigh… v Mold Al… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Denbigh… v Flint M… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Denbigh… v Newtown… | 1-0 |
Penrhyncoch
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Penrhyn… v Holywell | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Penrhyn… v Flint M… | 2-3 |
| Mar 14 | Penrhyn… v Holyhea… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Penrhyn… v Buckley… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Penrhyn… v Llandud… | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Penrhyn… v Mold Al… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Penrhyn… v Caersws | 1-3 |
| Jan 31 | Penrhyn… v Airbus … | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Penrhyn… v Brickfi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Penrhyn… v Gresfor… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 25, 2025 | Penrhyncoch | 1-1 | Denbigh Town |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
78%
Market
55%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Penrhyncoch in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.