FAW Championship · Apr 03, 2026 18:30
Ammanford AFC
PWR 44
Ammanford AFC
PWR 44
2-1
predicted
Newport City
PWR 49
PWR 49
65%
21%
14%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Ammanford AFC to win (82% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
82%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (10%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5
93%
93%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
50Attack47
45Defense60
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
1.61.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ammanford AFC
WDWWW
STABLE
Newport City
WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Ammanford AFCvs
0.22
Newport CityGoal Probability
Ammanford A…
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Newport City
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Ammanford A…+8
Gap#18
Newport City
WR 36% 105 pts
WR 40% 68 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFC | 77 | 28 | 21 | 28 | 110 | 120 | 105 |
| Newport City | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 52 | 68 |
Ammanford AFC
18.0%
| Mar 28 | Ammanfo… v Treowen… | 1-5 |
| Mar 24 | Ammanfo… v Cambria… | 0-0 |
| Mar 20 | Ammanfo… v Baglan … | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Ammanfo… v Llantwi… | 2-3 |
| Mar 06 | Ammanfo… v Cardiff… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Ammanfo… v Afan Li… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Ammanfo… v Aberyst… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Ammanfo… v Trethom… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Ammanfo… v Caerau … | 3-1 |
| Jan 23 | Ammanfo… v Trefelin | 0-4 |
Newport City
4.0%
| Mar 28 | Newport… v Cardiff… | 0-1 |
| Mar 20 | Newport… v Treowen… | 2-3 |
| Mar 14 | Newport… v Ynyshir… | 4-0 |
| Mar 09 | Newport… v Trethom… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Newport… v Baglan … | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Caernar… | 4-4 |
| Feb 20 | Newport… v Llantwi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Newport… v Afan Li… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Newport… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Newport… v Cambria… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Newport City | 0-0 | Ammanford AFC |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ammanford AFC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Newport City struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.