FAW Championship · Apr 03, 2026 16:00
Trefelin
PWR 49
PWR 49
2-1
predicted
Treowen Stars
PWR 45
PWR 45
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Trefelin to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5
79%
79%
Team Comparison
61Attack64
43Defense35
Goals/G
1.71.8
Conc/G
1.61.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Trefelin
WWLLW
STABLE
Treowen Stars
LLWWD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Trefelinvs
1.31
Treowen StarsGoal Probability
Trefelin
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Treowen Sta…
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)5-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 64% | 37% | - |
| 5.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 6.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Trefelin+25
Gap#31
Treowen Sta…
WR 43% 141 pts
WR 36% 37 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 94 | 40 | 21 | 33 | 163 | 152 | 141 |
| Treowen Stars | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 52 | 37 |
Trefelin
12.0%
| Mar 30 | Trefelin v Cwmbran… | 1-8 |
| Mar 27 | Trefelin v Pontypr… | 1-3 |
| Mar 21 | Trefelin v Cardiff… | 0-4 |
| Mar 17 | Trefelin v Cambria… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Trefelin v Aberyst… | 4-0 |
| Mar 04 | Trefelin v Cardiff… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Trefelin v Llantwi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Trefelin v Ynyshir… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Trefelin v Baglan … | 3-0 |
| Feb 13 | Trefelin v Caernar… | 0-2 |
Treowen Stars
10.0%
| Mar 28 | Treowen… v Ammanfo… | 1-5 |
| Mar 23 | Treowen… v Afan Li… | 0-1 |
| Mar 20 | Treowen… v Newport… | 2-3 |
| Mar 17 | Treowen… v Baglan … | 4-1 |
| Mar 14 | Treowen… v Pontypr… | 2-2 |
| Mar 10 | Treowen… v Caerau … | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Treowen… v Cambria… | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Treowen… v Llantwi… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Treowen… v Ynyshir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Treowen… v Cardiff… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 16, 2025 | Treowen Stars | 1-3 | Trefelin |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Trefelin in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.