Premier League · Apr 03, 2026 13:30
Penybont
PWR 35
Bala Town
PWR 35
Penybont
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Bala Town
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Penybont Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (5%)0-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.67x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.61x
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5
93%
93%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Penybont
DLLLL
STABLE
Bala Town
DLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
POINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Penybontvs
0.45
Bala TownGoal Probability
Penybont
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Bala Town
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (21%)0-0 (18%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Penybont+7
Gap#10
Bala Town
WR 46% 38 pts
WR 36% 23 pts
Penybont
2.0%
| Mar 28 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Penybont v GAP Con… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Penybont v The New… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Penybont v Bala To… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Penybont v GAP Con… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Penybont v The New… | 6-0 |
| Jan 24 | Penybont v Caernar… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Penybont v Cardiff… | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Penybont v Llanell… | 0-1 |
Bala Town
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Bala To… v GAP Con… | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Bala To… v Cardiff… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Bala To… v Haverfo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Bala To… v Caernar… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Bala To… v Flint T… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Bala To… v Colwyn … | 3-1 |
| Mar 03 | Bala To… v Penybont | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Bala To… v The New… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Bala To… v Llanell… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Bala To… v Briton … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 03, 2026 | Bala Town | 1-0 | Penybont |
| Dec 09, 2025 | Penybont | 1-1 | Bala Town |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Penybont | 2-1 | Bala Town |
| Sep 06, 2025 | Bala Town | 0-0 | Penybont |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bala Town | 2-3 | Penybont |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Bala Town | 3-2 | Penybont |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Penybont | 3-2 | Bala Town |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Bala Town | 1-2 | Penybont |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Penybont | 1-1 | Bala Town |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Bala Town | 3-2 | Penybont |
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
63%
Market
40%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Penybont struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.