Premier League · Apr 03, 2026 13:30

The New Saints
PWR 35
5-2
predicted

GAP Connah S Quay FC
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
The New Saints Win
Score
5-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X 83%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.69x
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
The New Saints WLWWL
STABLE
GAP Connah S Q… DWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
The New Saints
vs
0.86
GAP Connah S Q…
Goal Probability
The New Sai…
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
GAP Connah …
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 83% 18% OVER
2.5 61% 39% -
3.5 39% 61% -
4.5 21% 79% UNDER
5.5 10% 90% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
League Position
#1
The New Sai…
+1
Gap
#2
GAP Connah …
WR 82% 53 pts WR 64% 47 pts
The New Saints 12.0%
Mar 27 The New… v Caernar… 0-4
Mar 20 The New… v Colwyn … 0-2
Mar 14 The New… v Penybont 1-2
Mar 03 The New… v GAP Con… 1-2
Feb 28 The New… v Bala To… 0-2
Feb 20 The New… v Caernar… 2-1
Feb 13 The New… v Colwyn … 0-2
Feb 07 The New… v Penybont 6-0
Jan 24 The New… v Bala To… 1-0
Jan 13 The New… v Colwyn … 1-0
GAP Connah S Q… 10.0%
Mar 29 GAP Con… v Bala To… 1-1
Mar 21 GAP Con… v Penybont 2-1
Mar 13 GAP Con… v Caernar… 2-4
Mar 03 GAP Con… v The New… 1-2
Feb 21 GAP Con… v Bala To… 1-0
Feb 14 GAP Con… v Penybont 0-0
Feb 06 GAP Con… v Caernar… 1-1
Jan 24 GAP Con… v Colwyn … 2-2
Jan 13 GAP Con… v Caernar… 2-2
Jan 03 GAP Con… v Bala To… 3-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 03, 2026 GAP Connah S … 1-2 The New Saints
Dec 31, 2025 GAP Connah S … 3-1 The New Saints
Sep 10, 2025 GAP Connah S … 1-3 The New Saints
Aug 22, 2025 The New Saints 3-0 GAP Connah S …
May 04, 2025 GAP Connah S … 2-1 The New Saints
Dec 31, 2024 The New Saints 2-1 GAP Connah S …
Oct 30, 2024 GAP Connah S … 1-2 The New Saints
Apr 28, 2024 GAP Connah S … 2-1 The New Saints
Apr 21, 2024 The New Saints 2-0 GAP Connah S …
Mar 08, 2024 GAP Connah S … 1-5 The New Saints
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
57%
Market
64%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
The New Saints in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.