Premier League · Apr 03, 2026 13:30

The New Saints
PWR 35

GAP Connah S Quay FC
PWR 35

The New Saints
PWR 35
5-2
predicted

GAP Connah S Quay FC
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
The New Saints Win
Score
5-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
83%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.69x
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
The New Saints
WLWWL
STABLE
GAP Connah S Q…
DWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
The New Saintsvs
0.86
GAP Connah S Q…Goal Probability
The New Sai…
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
GAP Connah …
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
The New Sai…+1
Gap#2
GAP Connah …
WR 82% 53 pts
WR 64% 47 pts
The New Saints
12.0%
| Mar 27 | The New… v Caernar… | 0-4 |
| Mar 20 | The New… v Colwyn … | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | The New… v Penybont | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | The New… v GAP Con… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | The New… v Bala To… | 0-2 |
| Feb 20 | The New… v Caernar… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | The New… v Colwyn … | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | The New… v Penybont | 6-0 |
| Jan 24 | The New… v Bala To… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | The New… v Colwyn … | 1-0 |
GAP Connah S Q…
10.0%
| Mar 29 | GAP Con… v Bala To… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | GAP Con… v Penybont | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | GAP Con… v Caernar… | 2-4 |
| Mar 03 | GAP Con… v The New… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | GAP Con… v Bala To… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | GAP Con… v Penybont | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | GAP Con… v Caernar… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | GAP Con… v Colwyn … | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | GAP Con… v Caernar… | 2-2 |
| Jan 03 | GAP Con… v Bala To… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 03, 2026 | GAP Connah S … | 1-2 | The New Saints |
| Dec 31, 2025 | GAP Connah S … | 3-1 | The New Saints |
| Sep 10, 2025 | GAP Connah S … | 1-3 | The New Saints |
| Aug 22, 2025 | The New Saints | 3-0 | GAP Connah S … |
| May 04, 2025 | GAP Connah S … | 2-1 | The New Saints |
| Dec 31, 2024 | The New Saints | 2-1 | GAP Connah S … |
| Oct 30, 2024 | GAP Connah S … | 1-2 | The New Saints |
| Apr 28, 2024 | GAP Connah S … | 2-1 | The New Saints |
| Apr 21, 2024 | The New Saints | 2-0 | GAP Connah S … |
| Mar 08, 2024 | GAP Connah S … | 1-5 | The New Saints |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
57%
Market
64%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
The New Saints in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.