League One · Apr 03, 2026 14:00
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
Burnley
PWR 25
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
1-1
predicted
Burnley
PWR 25
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.48x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.89x
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
43Attack31
60Defense41
Goals/G
1.41.0
Conc/G
1.32.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Brighton & Hov…
LWDLW
STABLE
Burnley
LWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Brighton & Hov…vs
0.84
BurnleyGoal Probability
Brighton & …
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Burnley
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 44% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Brighton & …+2
Gap#10
Burnley
WR 30% 149 pts
WR 35% 147 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Ho… | 129 | 39 | 32 | 58 | 141 | 174 | 149 |
| Burnley | 113 | 39 | 30 | 44 | 172 | 186 | 147 |
Brighton & Hov…
10.0%
| Mar 28 | Brighto… v Blackpo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Brighto… v Brentfo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Brighto… v Liverpo… | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Brighto… v Reading… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Brighto… v Sunderl… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Brighto… v Northam… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Brighto… v Stevena… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Brighto… v Arsenal | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Brighto… v Exeter … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Brighto… v Notting… | 2-1 |
Burnley
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Burnley v Barrow | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Burnley v Manches… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Burnley v Doncast… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Burnley v Fulham | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Burnley v Newport… | 0-1 |
| Mar 17 | Burnley v Wigan | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Bournem… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Mansfie… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Burnley v Cardiff | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 03, 2026 | Brighton & Ho… | 2-0 | Burnley |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Burnley | 0-6 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Burnley | 3-2 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Brighton & Ho… | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Brighton & Ho… | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Brighton & Ho… | 0-3 | Burnley |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Burnley | 1-2 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Burnley | 1-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
50%
Market
49%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Burnley struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.