League Two · Apr 03, 2026 14:00
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Crawley Town
PWR 30
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
2-1
predicted
Crawley Town
PWR 30
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Newport County AFC to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (15%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.68x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.61x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
31Attack33
42Defense51
Goals/G
1.01.1
Conc/G
1.91.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Newport County…
WWLWL
STABLE
Crawley Town
LWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
Newport County…vs
0.28
Crawley TownGoal Probability
Newport Cou…
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Crawley Town
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#22
Newport Cou…-1
Gap#21
Crawley Town
WR 20% 34 pts
WR 10% 34 pts
Newport County…
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Newport… v Shrewsb… | 1-0 |
| Mar 28 | Newport… v Harroga… | 0-2 |
| Mar 24 | Newport… v Oldham | 3-0 |
| Mar 21 | Newport… v Chelten… | 5-2 |
| Mar 21 | Newport… v Walsall | 2-1 |
| Mar 17 | Newport… v Accring… | 0-4 |
| Mar 17 | Newport… v Burnley | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Newport… v Barnet | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Newport… v Chester… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Newport… v Walsall | 1-2 |
Crawley Town
6.0%
| Mar 28 | Crawley… v Tamworth | 0-1 |
| Mar 28 | Crawley… v Birming… | 2-0 |
| Mar 24 | Crawley… v Braintr… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Crawley… v York | 4-0 |
| Mar 21 | Crawley… v Fleetwo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Crawley… v Solihul… | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Crawley… v Barnet | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Crawley… v Woking | 1-4 |
| Mar 13 | Crawley… v Manches… | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Crawley… v Eastlei… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 17, 2026 | Crawley Town | 1-2 | Newport Count… |
| Nov 01, 2025 | Crawley Town | 2-2 | Newport Count… |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Newport Count… | 4-0 | Crawley Town |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Crawley Town | 1-2 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-4 | Crawley Town |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-4 | Crawley Town |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Crawley Town | 2-1 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Crawley Town | 2-1 | Newport Count… |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Newport Count… | 3-1 | Crawley Town |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Newport Count… | 3-1 | Crawley Town |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
40%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Newport County AFC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Crawley Town struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.