Segunda División · Apr 02, 2026 18:00
Castellón
PWR 41
Almería
PWR 35
Castellón
PWR 41
1-1
predicted
Almería
PWR 35
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)3-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.07x
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
55%
Team Comparison
48Attack0
69Defense100
Goals/G
1.60.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Castellón
DDLLL
STABLE
Almería
WWLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Segunda División
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Castellónvs
0.72
AlmeríaGoal Probability
Castellón
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Almería
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Castellón-3
Gap#3
Almería
WR 60% 51 pts
WR 38% 58 pts
Castellón
4.0%
| Mar 28 | Castell… v Albacete | 1-1 |
| Mar 23 | Castell… v Cultura… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Castell… v Sportin… | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Castell… v Real So… | 4-2 |
| Feb 28 | Castell… v Santand… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Castell… v Las Pal… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castell… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Castell… v Vallado… | 0-4 |
| Feb 01 | Castell… v FC Ando… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castell… v Zaragoza | 0-0 |
Almería
14.0%
| Mar 29 | Almería v Real So… | 5-1 |
| Mar 20 | Almería v Huesca | 1-3 |
| Mar 14 | Almería v Zaragoza | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Almería v Cultura… | 3-0 |
| Feb 27 | Almería v Albacete | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Almería v Cordoba | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Almería v FC Ando… | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Almería v Cadiz | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Almería v AD Ceut… | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Almería v Eibar | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Almería | 1-0 | Castellón |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Castellón | 4-1 | Almería |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Almería | 2-5 | Castellón |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
44%
Market
54%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Almería in strong form (3W in last 5)
Castellón struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.