Segunda División · Apr 01, 2026 18:00
Burgos
PWR 37
AD Ceuta FC
PWR 33
Burgos
PWR 37
1-1
predicted
AD Ceuta FC
PWR 33
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (4%)1-0 (4%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
80%
Home/Draw
1.31x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.13x
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
35Attack38
70Defense58
Goals/G
1.21.3
Conc/G
1.01.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Burgos
WWDWW
STABLE
AD Ceuta FC
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Segunda División
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Burgosvs
0.30
AD Ceuta FCGoal Probability
Burgos
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
AD Ceuta FC
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Burgos+4
Gap#9
AD Ceuta FC
WR 50% 53 pts
WR 19% 47 pts
Burgos
18.0%
| Mar 28 | Burgos v Vallado… | 0-1 |
| Mar 22 | Burgos v Cordoba | 4-0 |
| Mar 15 | Burgos v Eibar | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Burgos v Mirandes | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Burgos v Zaragoza | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Burgos v Santand… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Burgos v Cadiz | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Burgos v Las Pal… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Burgos v Levante | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Burgos v Malaga | 3-0 |
AD Ceuta FC
8.0%
| Mar 28 | AD Ceut… v Cadiz | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | AD Ceut… v Levante | 5-2 |
| Mar 14 | AD Ceut… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | AD Ceut… v Las Pal… | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | AD Ceut… v Mirandes | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | AD Ceut… v Cordoba | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | AD Ceut… v Granada | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | AD Ceut… v Huesca | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | AD Ceut… v AlmerÃa | 4-2 |
| Jan 26 | AD Ceut… v Cultura… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 29, 2025 | AD Ceuta FC | 1-0 | Burgos |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
65%
Market
56%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Burgos in strong form (4W in last 5)
AD Ceuta FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.