Primera A · Apr 01, 2026 01:00
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
Rionegro Aguilas
PWR 35
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT
Rionegro Aguilas
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Deportes Tolima to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (14%)0-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (4%)
WRONG 4-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
82%
Home/Draw
1.29x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.33x
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportes Tolima
WDWDL
STABLE
Rionegro Aguilā¦
WDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Deportes Tolimavs
0.20
Rionegro Aguilā¦Goal Probability
Deportes Toā¦
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Rionegro Agā¦
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Deportes Toā¦+6
Gap#11
Rionegro Agā¦
WR 83% 23 pts
WR 33% 19 pts
Deportes Tolima
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Deporteā¦ v Jaguares | 3-1 |
| Mar 23 | Deporteā¦ v Chico | 1-1 |
| Mar 19 | Deporteā¦ v Fortaleā¦ | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Deporteā¦ v Americaā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Deporteā¦ v O'Higgiā¦ | 2-0 |
| Mar 05 | Deporteā¦ v O'Higgiā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Deporteā¦ v AtlĆ©ticā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Deporteā¦ v Deportiā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Deporteā¦ v CĆŗcuta ā¦ | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | Deporteā¦ v Deportiā¦ | 0-1 |
Rionegro Aguilā¦
10.0%
| Mar 27 | Rionegrā¦ v Alianzaā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 23 | Rionegrā¦ v Jaguares | 1-1 |
| Mar 20 | Rionegrā¦ v Americaā¦ | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Rionegrā¦ v Deportiā¦ | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Rionegrā¦ v AtlĆ©ticā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Rionegrā¦ v La Equiā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Rionegrā¦ v Chico | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Rionegrā¦ v Millonaā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Rionegrā¦ v CĆŗcuta ā¦ | 3-2 |
| Feb 02 | Rionegrā¦ v Llaneros | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 14, 2025 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ | 1-2 | Deportes Toliā¦ |
| May 25, 2025 | Deportes Toliā¦ | 1-2 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ | 0-1 | Deportes Toliā¦ |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Deportes Toliā¦ | 2-1 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ |
| Dec 02, 2023 | Deportes Toliā¦ | 0-1 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ | 0-4 | Deportes Toliā¦ |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Deportes Toliā¦ | 1-1 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ |
| Feb 06, 2023 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ | 4-2 | Deportes Toliā¦ |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ | 1-2 | Deportes Toliā¦ |
| Apr 09, 2022 | Deportes Toliā¦ | 3-0 | Rionegro Aguiā¦ |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
72%
Market
59%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.