Friendlies · Mar 31, 2026 18:45

Netherlands
PWR 56

Ecuador
PWR 46

Netherlands
PWR 56
2-1
predicted

Ecuador
PWR 46
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Netherlands to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
83%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.51x
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
88Attack35
30Defense79
Goals/G
2.51.0
Conc/G
2.00.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Netherlands
WWDWL
STABLE
Ecuador
DWDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Netherlandsvs
0.35
EcuadorGoal Probability
Netherlands
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Ecuador
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#106
Netherlands-39
Gap#67
Ecuador
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 20% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Ecuador | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
Netherlands
14.0%
| Mar 27 | Netherl… v Norway | 2-1 |
| Mar 25 | Netherl… v Kosovo … | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Netherl… v Switzer… | 3-3 |
| Nov 17 | Netherl… v Lithuan… | 4-0 |
| Nov 17 | Netherl… v Haiti U… | 2-3 |
| Nov 14 | Netherl… v Scotland | 1-1 |
| Nov 14 | Netherl… v Kazakhs… | 4-1 |
| Nov 11 | Netherl… v Japan U… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Netherl… v England | 4-0 |
| Oct 09 | Netherl… v Malta | 0-4 |
Ecuador
12.0%
| Mar 27 | Ecuador v Morocco | 1-1 |
| Nov 19 | Ecuador v New Zea… | 2-0 |
| Nov 14 | Ecuador v Canada | 0-0 |
| Oct 15 | Ecuador v New Mex… | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Ecuador v USFA | 1-1 |
| Sep 09 | Ecuador v Argenti… | 1-0 |
| Sep 04 | Ecuador v Paraguay | 0-0 |
| Jun 11 | Ecuador v Peru | 0-0 |
| Mar 26 | Ecuador v Chile | 0-0 |
| Nov 25 | Ecuador v Netherl… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 25, 2022 | Netherlands | 1-1 | Ecuador |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
62%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Netherlands in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.