Primera C · Apr 06, 2026 18:30
FĂ©nix
PWR 39
El Porvenir
PWR 38
FĂ©nix
PWR 39
1-0
predicted
El Porvenir
PWR 38
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.5 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: FĂ©nix to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (45%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (7%)0-2 (4%)2-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
5%
Under 2.5
95%
95%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
14Attack29
79Defense59
Goals/G
0.40.8
Conc/G
0.61.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FĂ©nix
DDWDL
STABLE
El Porvenir
WDDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 1%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
FĂ©nixvs
0.41
El PorvenirGoal Probability
FĂ©nix
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
El Porvenir
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (41%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (8%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 1.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#29
FĂ©nix-10
Gap#19
El Porvenir
WR 20% 6 pts
WR 24% 52 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FĂ©nix | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| El Porvenir | 50 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 42 | 58 | 52 |
FĂ©nix
10.0%
| Mar 28 | FĂ©nix v Yupanqui | 0-0 |
| Mar 23 | Fénix v Puerto … | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Fénix v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | FĂ©nix v Lujan | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Fénix v General… | 2-0 |
| Jan 28 | Fénix v Wandere… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | FĂ©nix v Danubio | 1-0 |
El Porvenir
12.0%
| Mar 29 | El Porv… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | El Porv… v Mercedes | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | El Porv… v Lujan | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | El Porv… v Leones … | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | El Porv… v General… | 1-1 |
| Oct 03 | El Porv… v Lujan | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | El Porv… v Lujan | 1-1 |
| Sep 16 | El Porv… v Puerto … | 1-2 |
| Sep 05 | El Porv… v Lujan | 2-1 |
| Aug 29 | El Porv… v Berazat… | 0-0 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.