First League · Mar 14, 2026 15:00
Fakel Voronezh
PWR 35
Chernomorets
PWR 35
Fakel Voronezh
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Chernomorets
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fakel Voronezh Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (3%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (1%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
89%
Home/Draw
1.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.94x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fakel Voronezh
WLLWD
STABLE
Chernomorets
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Combined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Fakel Voronezhvs
0.40
ChernomoretsGoal Probability
Fakel Voron…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Chernomorets
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Fakel Voron…+14
Gap#15
Chernomorets
WR 77% 53 pts
WR 8% 28 pts
Fakel Voronezh
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Fakel V… v Ural | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Fakel V… v Sogdiana | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Fakel V… v Baltika | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Fakel V… v Zhetysu | 5-1 |
| Feb 05 | Fakel V… v PFC Soc… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Fakel V… v Sloga D… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Fakel V… v Qizilqum | 3-3 |
| Nov 30 | Fakel V… v Chelyab… | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | Fakel V… v FC UFA | 0-4 |
| Nov 16 | Fakel V… v FK Soko… | 0-1 |
Chernomorets
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Chernom… v SKA Kha… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Chernom… v Torpedo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Chernom… v Rotor V… | 5-0 |
| Feb 04 | Chernom… v Urozhay | 1-4 |
| Nov 28 | Chernom… v Shinnik… | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Chernom… v Arsenal… | 1-1 |
| Nov 15 | Chernom… v Volga U… | 2-1 |
| Nov 09 | Chernom… v Enisey | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Chernom… v Spartak… | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | Chernom… v Chelyab… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 17, 2025 | Chernomorets | 0-1 | Fakel Voronezh |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
91%
Market
66%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Chernomorets struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.