Serie A · Mar 29, 2026 22:30
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
Botafogo
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT
Botafogo
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (17%)0-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
CORRECT 4-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.99x
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletico Para…
WWLDW
STABLE
Botafogo
WWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskElevated draw risk (22.9%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Athletico Para…vs
0.45
BotafogoGoal Probability
Athletico P…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Botafogo
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Athletico P…+15
Gap#17
Botafogo
WR 80% 16 pts
WR 20% 6 pts
Athletico Para…
14.0%
| Mar 26 | Athleti… v Anápolis | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Operári… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Piauà | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Athleti… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Athleti… v Santos | 0-2 |
Botafogo
14.0%
| Mar 25 | Botafogo v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v Fortale… | 4-0 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v Sousa | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Botafogo v Sousa | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Botafogo v Serra B… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Botafogo v Bangu | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 06, 2025 | Botafogo | 1-3 | Athletico Par… |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 2-0 | Botafogo |
| May 04, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 1-4 | Botafogo |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Athletico Par… | 0-1 | Botafogo |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Jun 03, 2023 | Athletico Par… | 1-0 | Botafogo |
| Jun 01, 2023 | Botafogo | 1-0 | Athletico Par… |
| May 18, 2023 | Athletico Par… | 3-2 | Botafogo |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
93%
Market
52%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.