FKF Premier League · Apr 02, 2026 11:00
Mathare United
PWR 35
Police
PWR 35
Mathare United
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Police
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mathare United
WDDLW
STABLE
Police
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: FKF Premier League
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Mathare Unitedvs
0.48
PoliceGoal Probability
Mathare Uni…
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Police
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Mathare Uni…-8
Gap#5
Police
WR 42% 30 pts
WR 50% 40 pts
Mathare United
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Mathare… v Migori … | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Mathare… v Murang'… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Mathare… v Nzoia S… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Mathare… v Kisumu … | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Mathare… v AFC Leo… | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Mathare… v Nairobi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Mathare… v Gor Mah… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Mathare… v Gucha S… | 3-1 |
| Feb 25 | Mathare… v Shabana | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Mathare… v Kabati … | 2-0 |
Police
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Police v KCB | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Police v Posta R… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Police v Bandari | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Police v Sofapaka | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Police v APS Bom… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Police v Ulinzi … | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Police v Bidco U… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Police v Bandari | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Police v Mara Su… | 0-1 |
| Jan 19 | Police v Nairobi… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 22, 2025 | Police | 1-0 | Mathare United |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Mathare United | 1-0 | Police |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Police | 2-0 | Mathare United |
| May 14, 2023 | Police | 1-0 | Mathare United |
| Feb 01, 2023 | Mathare United | 0-5 | Police |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Mathare United | 1-2 | Police |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Police in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.