Championship · Apr 07, 2026 18:45
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
Dunfermline
PWR 35
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Dunfermline
PWR 35
23%
29%
48%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ayr Utd Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ayr Utd
LLDLD
DOWN
Dunfermline
DWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 68% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Ayr Utdvs
1.07
DunfermlineGoal Probability
Ayr Utd
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Dunfermline
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)0-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Ayr Utd-2
Gap#4
Dunfermline
WR 23% 35 pts
WR 36% 40 pts
Ayr Utd
4.0%
| Mar 27 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 3-0 |
| Mar 21 | Ayr Utd v Morton | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Ayr Utd v Queen's… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Ayr Utd v Queen's… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Ayr Utd v Arbroath | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Ayr Utd v Inverne… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Ayr Utd v Ross Co… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 3-3 |
| Jan 31 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 2-1 |
Dunfermline
18.0%
| Mar 21 | Dunferm… v Ross Co… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Dunferm… v Raith R… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Dunferm… v Aberdeen | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | Dunferm… v Ross Co… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Dunferm… v Queen's… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Dunferm… v Partick | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Dunferm… v Arbroath | 4-2 |
| Feb 17 | Dunferm… v Morton | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Dunferm… v Kelty H… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Dunferm… v Airdrie… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dunfermline | 2-3 | Ayr Utd |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 0-1 | Dunfermline |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Dunfermline | 0-1 | Ayr Utd |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 3-0 | Dunfermline |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Dunfermline | 0-2 | Ayr Utd |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 1-0 | Dunfermline |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Dunfermline | 1-1 | Ayr Utd |
| May 03, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 3-3 | Dunfermline |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Dunfermline | 2-0 | Ayr Utd |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Ayr Utd | 2-2 | Dunfermline |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Dunfermline in strong form (4W in last 5)
Ayr Utd struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.