Liga Premier Serie A · Apr 04, 2026 02:00

Durango
PWR 35
5-1
predicted

Reboceros La Piedad
PWR 35
63% 21% 16%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
MEDIUM
Home Win
1X2 · ELITE tier, 82% conf, draw risk 19%
86%
accuracy
1.5x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Durango Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
82%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS No
No 19%
Over 3.5 70%
70%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Durango DWWWW
STABLE
Reboceros La P… LLLDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk19%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed (5 independent rules, 82% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Durango
vs
0.21
Reboceros La P…
Goal Probability
Durango
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Reboceros L…
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)4-0 (9%)5-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 99% 1% OVER
1.5 95% 5% OVER
2.5 85% 15% OVER
3.5 70% 30% OVER
4.5 51% 49% -
5.5 34% 66% UNDER
6.5 20% 80% UNDER
League Position
#1
Durango
+12
Gap
#13
Reboceros L…
WR 73% 68 pts WR 17% 20 pts
Durango 18.0%
Mar 28 Durango v Cimarro… 0-0
Mar 21 Durango v Ensenada 6-0
Mar 15 Durango v Atlante… 0-3
Mar 07 Durango v UA Zaca… 3-0
Feb 21 Durango v Colima 1-4
Feb 17 Durango v Leones … 1-0
Feb 08 Durango v Los Cab… 0-2
Jan 31 Durango v Tigres … 0-1
Jan 24 Durango v Tritons… 2-0
Jan 17 Durango v Tecos 3-1
Reboceros La P… 6.0%
Mar 28 Rebocer… v Mineros… 6-2
Mar 22 Rebocer… v Cimarro… 2-3
Mar 17 Rebocer… v Ensenada 6-1
Mar 08 Rebocer… v Atlante… 4-4
Feb 22 Rebocer… v UA Zaca… 3-0
Feb 15 Rebocer… v Colima 3-2
Feb 07 Rebocer… v Leones … 3-1
Feb 01 Rebocer… v Los Cab… 0-1
Jan 25 Rebocer… v Tigres … 2-1
Jan 18 Rebocer… v Tritons… 0-2
Head-to-Head (3)
Oct 12, 2025 Reboceros La … 0-5 Durango
Jan 23, 2021 Durango 2-0 Reboceros La …
Sep 27, 2020 Reboceros La … 2-4 Durango
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Durango in strong form (4W in last 5)
Reboceros La Piedad struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.