Liga Premier Serie A · Apr 05, 2026 22:00
Guerreros
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Tritons Vallarta
PWR 35
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Guerreros Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (19%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guerreros
WLDDD
STABLE
Tritons Vallar…
WLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Guerrerosvs
0.21
Tritons Vallar…Goal Probability
Guerreros
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Tritons Val…
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Guerreros-3
Gap#6
Tritons Val…
WR 50% 32 pts
WR 27% 43 pts
Guerreros
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Guerrer… v Colima | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Guerrer… v Leones … | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Guerrer… v Los Cab… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Guerrer… v Tigres … | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Guerrer… v Tecos | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Guerrer… v UA Zaca… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Guerrer… v Mineros… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Guerrer… v Cimarro… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Guerrer… v Ensenada | 3-0 |
| Jan 18 | Guerrer… v Atlante… | 3-0 |
Tritons Vallar…
14.0%
| Mar 28 | Tritons… v Los Cab… | 2-0 |
| Mar 22 | Tritons… v Tigres … | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Tritons… v UA Zaca… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Tritons… v Tecos | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Tritons… v Mineros… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Tritons… v Cimarro… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Tritons… v Ensenada | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Tritons… v Atlante… | 3-2 |
| Jan 24 | Tritons… v Durango | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Tritons… v Rebocer… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 11, 2025 | Tritons Valla… | 2-2 | Guerreros |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tritons Vallarta in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.