FAW Championship · Apr 06, 2026 13:30
Caersws
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Penrhyncoch
PWR 35
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Caersws
LWLLL
STABLE
Penrhyncoch
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Caerswsvs
0.96
PenrhyncochGoal Probability
Caersws
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Penrhyncoch
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Caersws+2
Gap#15
Penrhyncoch
WR 42% 28 pts
WR 23% 26 pts
Caersws
4.0%
| Mar 28 | Caersws v Llandud… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Caersws v Rhyl | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Caersws v Holywell | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Caersws v Airbus … | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Caersws v Brickfi… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Caersws v Penrhyn… | 1-3 |
| Jan 30 | Caersws v Ruthin … | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Caersws v Holyhea… | 2-2 |
| Jan 01 | Caersws v Newtown… | 1-0 |
| Dec 26 | Caersws v Mold Al… | 0-2 |
Penrhyncoch
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Penrhyn… v Holywell | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Penrhyn… v Flint M… | 2-3 |
| Mar 14 | Penrhyn… v Holyhea… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Penrhyn… v Buckley… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Penrhyn… v Llandud… | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Penrhyn… v Mold Al… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Penrhyn… v Caersws | 1-3 |
| Jan 31 | Penrhyn… v Airbus … | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Penrhyn… v Brickfi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Penrhyn… v Gresfor… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 04, 2026 | Penrhyncoch | 1-3 | Caersws |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Caersws | 1-2 | Penrhyncoch |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Penrhyncoch | 4-1 | Caersws |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Penrhyncoch | 1-1 | Caersws |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Penrhyncoch in strong form (3W in last 5)
Caersws struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.