Ligue 1 · Apr 05, 2026 13:00
Don Bosco
PWR 35
Don Bosco
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Simba
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Don Bosco
DDWWL
STABLE
Simba
WWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Don Boscovs
0.61
SimbaGoal Probability
Don Bosco
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Simba
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Don Bosco-1
Gap#3
Simba
WR 64% 46 pts
WR 50% 49 pts
Don Bosco
12.0%
| Mar 30 | Don Bos… v Saint-l… | 0-0 |
| Mar 25 | Don Bos… v Tshinku… | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Don Bos… v Blessing | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Don Bos… v Tangany… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Don Bos… v Groupe … | 2-1 |
| Jan 29 | Don Bos… v CS Mani… | 2-2 |
| Jan 26 | Don Bos… v AS New … | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Don Bos… v Panda B5 | 1-3 |
| Jan 18 | Don Bos… v Lubumba… | 0-0 |
| Jan 07 | Don Bos… v Malole | 0-2 |
Simba
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Simba v Sanga B… | 0-2 |
| Mar 10 | Simba v Panda B5 | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Simba v Lubumba… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Simba v Tshinku… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Simba v FC Tshi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Simba v Groupe … | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Simba v TP Maze… | 3-0 |
| Feb 19 | Simba v Tangany… | 0-3 |
| Feb 16 | Simba v Malole | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | Simba v Saint-l… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Simba | 1-2 | Don Bosco |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Simba | 0-1 | Don Bosco |
| Mar 07, 2025 | Simba | 1-0 | Don Bosco |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Don Bosco | 0-0 | Simba |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Don Bosco | 0-2 | Simba |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Simba | 0-0 | Don Bosco |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.