Primera A · Apr 06, 2026 20:30
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
Alianza Petrolera
PWR 35
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Alianza Petrolera
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Deportivo Pasto to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportivo Pasto
LWWDL
STABLE
Alianza Petrol…
LWWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Deportivo Pastovs
0.24
Alianza Petrol…Goal Probability
Deportivo P…
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Alianza Pet…
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Deportivo P…+15
Gap#17
Alianza Pet…
WR 63% 27 pts
WR 0% 11 pts
Deportivo Pasto
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Deporti… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | Deporti… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Mar 25 | Deporti… v Fortale… | 1-2 |
| Mar 24 | Deporti… v Cúcuta … | 2-2 |
| Mar 22 | Deporti… v Alianza… | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Deporti… v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| Mar 18 | Deporti… v Chico | 2-0 |
| Mar 18 | Deporti… v La Equi… | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | Deporti… v Rionegr… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Deporti… v Cúcuta … | 0-2 |
Alianza Petrol…
12.0%
| Mar 27 | Alianza… v Rionegr… | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Alianza… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Alianza… v Jaguares | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Alianza… v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Alianza… v Junior | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Alianza… v America… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Alianza… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Alianza… v Cúcuta … | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza… v Once Ca… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Alianza… v Bucaram… | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 22, 2026 | Alianza Petro… | 1-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 0-1 | Alianza Petro… |
| Oct 05, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 3-3 | Alianza Petro… |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Alianza Petro… | 1-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| May 11, 2025 | Alianza Petro… | 2-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Alianza Petro… | 1-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-0 | Alianza Petro… |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Alianza Petro… | 1-1 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-1 | Alianza Petro… |
| Jun 05, 2023 | Alianza Petro… | 1-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
93%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.