FAW Championship · Mar 31, 2026 18:45
Denbigh Town
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Holyhead Hotspur
PWR 35
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Denbigh Town to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.41x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.13x
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Denbigh Town
LWWLL
STABLE
Holyhead Hotsp…
WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Denbigh Townvs
0.51
Holyhead Hotsp…Goal Probability
Denbigh Town
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Holyhead Ho…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Denbigh Town+5
Gap#11
Holyhead Ho…
WR 54% 36 pts
WR 8% 29 pts
Denbigh Town
8.0%
| Mar 27 | Denbigh… v Rhyl | 3-0 |
| Mar 20 | Denbigh… v Airbus … | 3-2 |
| Mar 13 | Denbigh… v Buckley… | 1-4 |
| Mar 06 | Denbigh… v Brickfi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Denbigh… v Holywell | 5-1 |
| Feb 20 | Denbigh… v Llandud… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Denbigh… v Mold Al… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Denbigh… v Flint M… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Denbigh… v Newtown… | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Denbigh… v Guilsfi… | 3-2 |
Holyhead Hotsp…
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Holyhea… v Newtown… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Holyhea… v Mold Al… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Holyhea… v Penrhyn… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Holyhea… v Guilsfi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Holyhea… v Gresfor… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Holyhea… v Brickfi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Holyhea… v Llandud… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Holyhea… v Caersws | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Holyhea… v Airbus … | 0-2 |
| Jan 01 | Holyhea… v Holywell | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Holyhead Hots… | 3-2 | Denbigh Town |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
70%
Market
56%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Denbigh Town struggling (3L in last 5)
Holyhead Hotspur struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.