FKF Premier League · Apr 01, 2026 11:00
Nairobi United
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Mara Sugar
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nairobi United
DLLWD
STABLE
Mara Sugar
LDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: FKF Premier League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Nairobi Unitedvs
0.90
Mara SugarGoal Probability
Nairobi Uni…
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Mara Sugar
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (17%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Nairobi Uni…+2
Gap#12
Mara Sugar
WR 27% 34 pts
WR 17% 30 pts
Nairobi United
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Nairobi… v APS Bom… | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | Nairobi… v Ulinzi … | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | Nairobi… v AFC Leo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Nairobi… v Sofapaka | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Nairobi… v KCB | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Nairobi… v Bandari | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Nairobi… v Bidco U… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Nairobi… v Maniema… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Nairobi… v Wydad F… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Nairobi… v APS Bom… | 1-2 |
Mara Sugar
10.0%
| Mar 28 | Mara Su… v KCB | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Mara Su… v APS Bom… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Mara Su… v Bandari | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Mara Su… v Sofapaka | 3-1 |
| Feb 26 | Mara Su… v Bidco U… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Mara Su… v Ulinzi … | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Mara Su… v Homeboyz | 3-3 |
| Jan 24 | Mara Su… v Police | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Mara Su… v Gor Mah… | 3-0 |
| Jan 14 | Mara Su… v Police | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 01, 2025 | Mara Sugar | 0-1 | Nairobi United |
| Jun 01, 2025 | Nairobi United | 1-1 | Mara Sugar |
| Jun 02, 2024 | Mara Sugar | 1-0 | Nairobi United |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Nairobi United | 0-2 | Mara Sugar |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.