Liga Premier Serie A · Apr 05, 2026 01:00
Calor de San Pedro
PWR 35
Calor de San Pedro
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Gavilanes FC Matamoros
PWR 35
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Gavilanes FC Matamoros Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (22%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Calor de San P…
LWWLD
STABLE
Gavilanes FC M…
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Calor de San P…vs
0.47
Gavilanes FC M…Goal Probability
Calor de Sa…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Gavilanes F…
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Calor de Sa…-2
Gap#5
Gavilanes F…
WR 46% 38 pts
WR 25% 41 pts
Calor de San P…
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Calor d… v Real Ap… | 1-0 |
| Mar 25 | Calor d… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Calor d… v Chilpan… | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Calor d… v FC Sant… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Calor d… v Zacatep… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Calor d… v Ciervos | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Calor d… v Correca… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Calor d… v Zitacua… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Calor d… v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Calor d… v Cordobés | 2-2 |
Gavilanes FC M…
16.0%
| Mar 28 | Gavilan… v Cordobés | 1-3 |
| Mar 21 | Gavilan… v Sportin… | 1-3 |
| Mar 15 | Gavilan… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Gavilan… v Ciervos | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Gavilan… v Lobos U… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Gavilan… v Correca… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Gavilan… v Real Ap… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Gavilan… v Chilpan… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Gavilan… v Zitacua… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Gavilan… v FC Sant… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 21, 2025 | Gavilanes FC … | 2-0 | Calor de San … |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Gavilanes FC … | 1-0 | Calor de San … |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Calor de San … | 2-2 | Gavilanes FC … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Gavilanes FC Matamoros in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.